San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
San Jose0
LA Galaxy1Full timeDignity Health Sports ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, August 19, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–0
xG2.0–1.8
LA GalaxyHOME✓43%2.0xG+134fair+136mkt+0.5%Draw23%—xG+333fair+308mkt-1.4%
San Jose EarthquakesAWAY34%1.8xG+193fair+202mkt+1.0%O2.5 72% ✗BTTS 72% · mkt 69% ✗
FS1 · Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Goals48%38%+165✗ 0Josef Martínez1+ Goals42%––DNP
Cristian Arango1+ Goals39%––DNPTimo Werner1+ Goals38%35%+220✗ 0Joseph Paintsil1+ Goals36%38%+180✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Shots98%97%-3000✓ 3Gabriel Pec1+ Shots97%––DNPCristian Arango1+ Shots97%––DNPTimo Werner1+ Shots93%95%-2000✗ 0Josef Martínez1+ Shots92%––DNP
Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots on Target80%––DNPPreston Judd1+ Shots on Target78%76%-310✓ 1Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target75%––✗ 0Cristian Arango1+ Shots on Target72%––DNPJosef Martínez1+ Shots on Target71%––DNP
Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo WernerO0.531%24%+320✗ 0Marco ReusO0.528%42%+140✗ 0Ousseni BoudaO0.522%17%+500✗ 0Gabriel PecO0.521%––DNPCristian ArangoO0.519%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo Werner57%––✗ 0Preston Judd55%––✗ 0Cristian Arango51%––DNPMarco Reus51%––✗ 0Gabriel Pec49%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLA Galaxy lead 3-12 draws10–6 on goals