Toronto FC vs Inter Miami CF
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Toronto2
Miami1Full timeNu StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
xG2.4–1.2
Inter Miami CFHOME✗62%2.4xG-165fair-237mkt-8.1%Draw20%—xG+395fair+537mktModel lean+4.5%
Toronto FCAWAY18%1.2xG+471fair+622mkt+3.6%O2.5 70% ✓BTTS 65% · mkt 70% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Goals59%72%-200✓ 1Luis Suárez1+ Goals54%55%+100✗ 0Germán Berterame1+ Goals46%45%+130✗ 0Josh Sargent1+ Goals29%29%+265✓ 1Telasco Segovia1+ Goals25%24%+425✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots100%––✓ 2Lionel Messi2+ Shots98%––✓ 2Luis Suárez1+ Shots96%––✓ 1Germán Berterame1+ Shots94%––✓ 3Lionel Messi3+ Shots93%98%-4000✗ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target89%96%-2500✓ 1Luis Suárez1+ Shots on Target81%91%-1000✗ 0Germán Berterame1+ Shots on Target72%90%-900✗ 0Lionel Messi2+ Shots on Target65%79%-370✗ 1Dániel Sallói1+ Shots on Target60%62%-165✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.540%64%-180✗ 0Luis SuárezO0.529%43%+135✗ 0Rodrigo de PaulO0.528%29%+240✓ 1Germán BerterameO0.525%33%+200✗ 0Mateo SilvettiO0.520%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi75%––✓ 1Luis Suárez68%––✗ 0Germán Berterame60%––✗ 0Rodrigo de Paul38%––✓ 1Telasco Segovia38%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsInter Miami CF lead 3-12 draws11–7 on goals