Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Columbus2
Nashville3Full timeGEODIS ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 3–2
xG1.6–1.1
Nashville SCHOME✓46%1.6xG+118fair-132mkt-11.1%Draw28%—xG+263fair+320mkt+3.7%
Columbus CrewAWAY27%1.1xG+275fair+411mktModel lean+7.1%O2.5 51% · mkt 54% ✓BTTS 55% · mkt 55% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals42%51%+105✗ 0Wessam Abou Ali1+ Goals32%––DNPJosef Martínez1+ Goals28%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals28%39%+160✓ 1Diego Rossi1+ Goals27%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots94%98%-4000✓ 3Wessam Abou Ali1+ Shots91%––DNPDiego Rossi1+ Shots90%––DNPSam Surridge1+ Shots90%99%-7000✓ 2Warren Madrigal1+ Shots84%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target68%86%-600✗ 0Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target68%75%-300✓ 1Wessam Abou Ali1+ Shots on Target65%––DNPDiego Rossi1+ Shots on Target57%––DNPJosef Martínez1+ Shots on Target56%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.524%36%+175✗ 0Taha HabrouneO0.515%15%+550✗ 0Max ArfstenO0.515%––DNPHany MukhtarO0.514%40%+150✓ 1Mohamed FarsiO0.514%13%+650✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge47%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar38%––✓ 2Wessam Abou Ali37%––DNPCristian Espinoza35%––✗ 0Josef Martínez34%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNashville SC lead 3-12 draws11–8 on goals