MatchWiz

Houston Dynamo FC vs St. Louis CITY SC

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

HOUHouston1STLSt. Louis2Full timeEnergizer Park

Box score

Final

What the model says

Saturday, August 22, 2026
MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–1
xG1.51.1
STLSt. Louis CITY SCHOME45%1.5xG+123fair+119mkt-0.9%
Draw29%xG+248fair+271mkt+1.8%
HOUHouston Dynamo FCAWAY27%1.1xG+277fair+266mkt-0.8%
O2.5 46% · mkt 53% BTTS 52% · mkt 57%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

MLS table
Away
HOUHouston Dynamo FC2nd40 pts12-4-7WWLDD
Home
STLSt. Louis CITY SC5th37 pts10-7-6WDWDW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Simon Becher1+ Goals35%36%+190 1
Marcel Hartel1+ Goals28%DNP
Guilherme1+ Goals20%29%+260DNP
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Goals18%20%+410 0
Jeong Sang-Bin1+ Goals18%24%+310 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots95%DNP
Simon Becher1+ Shots91%99%-7000 1
Guilherme1+ Shots88%93%-1250DNP
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Shots88%93%-1250 5
Marcel Hartel2+ Shots79%DNP

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots on Target69%DNP
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Shots on Target62%62%-160 1
Guilherme1+ Shots on Target60%66%-190DNP
Simon Becher1+ Shots on Target57%72%-260 1
Jeong Sang-Bin1+ Shots on Target40% 0
PlayerOursMktPrice
Marcel HartelO0.519%DNP
Tomas TotlandO0.514%27%+270 0
Jack McGlynnO0.513%17%+480 0
GuilhermeO0.512%29%+250DNP
Simon BecherO0.511%29%+250 0

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Marcel Hartel42%DNP
Simon Becher42% 1
Guilherme29%DNP
Mateusz Bogusz26% 0
Jeong Sang-Bin26% 0

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Level at 2 apiece2 draws68 on goals