Philadelphia Union vs Austin FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Philadelphia1
Austin1Full timeQ2 StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 22, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
xG1.4–1.8
Austin FCHOME28%1.4xG+259fair+259mkt+0.0%Draw25%—xG+305fair+300mkt-0.3%
Philadelphia UnionAWAY✗48%1.8xG+111fair+111mkt+0.2%O2.5 63% · mkt 58% ✗BTTS 64% · mkt 62% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals52%41%+145✗ 0Bruno Damiani1+ Goals41%36%+175✗ 0Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals29%21%+380✓ 1Myrto Uzuni1+ Goals27%29%+245✗ 0Mikael Uhre1+ Goals24%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots99%––✓ 2Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots96%––✓ 1Milan Iloski2+ Shots95%97%-3000✓ 2Bruno Damiani1+ Shots93%99%-10000✗ 0Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots88%91%-1000✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target85%88%-700✗ 0Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target69%––✓ 1Brandon Vázquez1+ Shots on Target62%80%-400✓ 1Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots on Target57%––✓ 2Bruno Damiani1+ Shots on Target57%74%-290✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kai WagnerO0.529%30%+230✗ 0Cavan SullivanO0.529%––✗ 0Milan IloskiO0.528%20%+400✗ 0Frankie WestfieldO0.525%28%+260✗ 0Ben BenderO0.513%35%+185DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski65%––✗ 0Cavan Sullivan50%––✓ 1Bruno Damiani47%––✗ 0Frankie Westfield34%––✗ 0Mikael Uhre33%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 2 meetingsLevel at 0 apiece2 draws3–3 on goals