MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

MINMinnesota5SJSan Jose1Full timePayPal Park

Box score

Final

What the model says

Saturday, August 22, 2026
MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–5
xG1.9–1.5
SJSan Jose EarthquakesHOME✗46%1.9xG+118fair+139mktModel lean+4.1%
Draw24%—xG+314fair+300mkt-0.8%
MINMinnesota United FCAWAY30%1.5xG+234fair+199mkt-3.5%
O2.5 66% ✓BTTS 67% · mkt 66% ✓
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

MLS table
Away
MINMinnesota United FC11th29 pts7-8-8DLWDL
Home
SJSan Jose Earthquakes6th35 pts10-5-8LLLDD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Goals42%40%+160✗ 0
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Goals39%––DNP
Josef Martínez1+ Goals36%––DNP
Cristian Arango1+ Goals34%––DNP
Timo Werner1+ Goals31%33%+210✓ 1

Shots

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Shots97%98%-5000✓ 1
Cristian Arango1+ Shots96%––DNP
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots93%––DNP
Tomás Chancalay1+ Shots92%98%-4000✗ 0
Josef Martínez1+ Shots89%––DNP

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Shots on Target74%79%-380✓ 1
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots on Target69%––DNP
Cristian Arango1+ Shots on Target68%––DNP
Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target68%––✓ 2
Josef Martínez1+ Shots on Target66%––DNP

Assists

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Joaquín PereyraO0.530%29%+240✓ 1
Timo WernerO0.526%25%+300✗ 0
Ousseni BoudaO0.517%17%+500✗ 0
Cristian ArangoO0.516%––DNP
Tomás ChancalayO0.516%25%+300✗ 0

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo Werner49%––✓ 1
Preston Judd48%––✗ 0
Tani Oluwaseyi48%––DNP
Cristian Arango45%––DNP
Joaquín Pereyra42%––✓ 2

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Minnesota United FC lead 5-01 draw15–4 on goals
Aug 22, 26Minnesota United FC at San Jose Earthquakes5–1Jul 12, 25San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC1–4Mar 8, 25Minnesota United FC at San Jose Earthquakes1–0Aug 31, 24Minnesota United FC at San Jose Earthquakes2–1Jul 20, 24San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC0–2Sep 30, 23San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC1–1