Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Philadelphia3
Red Bull NY1Full timeRed Bull ArenaBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–3
xG1.7–1.7
Red Bull New YorkHOME37%1.7xG+172fair+213mktModel lean+4.9%Draw24%—xG+310fair+316mkt+0.3%
Philadelphia UnionAWAY✓39%1.7xG+157fair+127mkt-5.2%O2.5 67% ✓BTTS 68% · mkt 69% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals48%43%+135✓ 1Julian Hall1+ Goals35%36%+188✗ 0Bruno Damiani1+ Goals35%38%+195✗ 0Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals31%23%+360✓ 1Mikael Uhre1+ Goals23%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots99%––✓ 7Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots95%95%-2000✓ 3Milan Iloski2+ Shots93%95%-2000✓ 7Jorge Ruvalcaba1+ Shots90%98%-4000✓ 1Bruno Damiani1+ Shots88%98%-5000✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target81%86%-600✓ 3Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target68%65%-185✓ 1Julian Hall1+ Shots on Target61%71%-240✓ 2Jorge Ruvalcaba1+ Shots on Target53%74%-290✗ 0Bruno Damiani1+ Shots on Target51%73%-270✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Cavan SullivanO0.527%27%+270✗ 0Kai WagnerO0.526%33%+200✗ 0Frankie WestfieldO0.524%30%+230✗ 0Milan IloskiO0.524%21%+370✗ 0Cade CowellO0.519%26%+280✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski60%––✓ 1Cavan Sullivan50%––✓ 1Julian Hall44%––✗ 0Bruno Damiani40%––✗ 0Frankie Westfield32%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsPhiladelphia Union lead 4-11 draw10–3 on goals
Aug 29, 26Philadelphia Union at Red Bull New York3–1Jul 22, 26Red Bull New York at Philadelphia Union1–3Aug 16, 25Philadelphia Union at Red Bull New York0–1Jul 12, 25Red Bull New York at Philadelphia Union0–2Aug 31, 24Philadelphia Union at Red Bull New York2–0Jul 6, 24Red Bull New York at Philadelphia Union0–0