FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Cincinnati0
Nashville4Full timeGEODIS ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 4–0
xG2.0–1.4
Nashville SCHOME✓51%2.0xG-103fair-106mkt-0.6%Draw24%—xG+320fair+332mkt+0.6%
FC CincinnatiAWAY25%1.4xG+294fair+294mkt+0.0%O2.5 64% ✓BTTS 65% · mkt 65% ✗
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals49%53%-102✓ 1Kévin Denkey1+ Goals35%34%+205✗ 0Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals33%40%+150✓ 1Evander1+ Goals33%33%+230✗ 0Warren Madrigal1+ Goals26%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Evander1+ Shots97%98%-5000✓ 5Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots96%99%-7000✓ 5Sam Surridge1+ Shots93%99%-10000✓ 2Warren Madrigal1+ Shots88%––DNPEvander2+ Shots86%87%-650✓ 5Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Evander1+ Shots on Target77%77%-330✓ 3Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target74%77%-340✓ 2Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target74%88%-700✓ 1Kévin Denkey1+ Shots on Target58%––✓ 1Cristian Espinoza1+ Shots on Target54%71%-240✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
EvanderO0.529%31%+220✗ 0Cristian EspinozaO0.528%38%+160✓ 1Ender EcheniqueO0.519%22%+360✗ 0Hany MukhtarO0.517%43%+135✓ 1Warren MadrigalO0.515%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge54%––✓ 1Evander52%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar45%––✓ 2Cristian Espinoza40%––✓ 1Kévin Denkey39%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsFC Cincinnati lead 3-21 draw9–11 on goals