Austin FC vs Portland Timbers
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Austin2
Portland1Full timeProvidence ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
xG2.1–1.2
Portland TimbersHOME✗57%2.1xG-133fair-146mkt-2.3%Draw23%—xG+344fair+375mkt+1.5%
Austin FCAWAY20%1.2xG+391fair+415mkt+0.9%O2.5 65% ✓BTTS 63% · mkt 61% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Goals50%49%+105DNPMyrto Uzuni1+ Goals30%28%+280DNPBrandon Vázquez1+ Goals26%30%+265✗ 0Kristoffer Velde1+ Goals24%38%+170✗ 0Jáder Obrian1+ Goals21%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots96%––DNPKristoffer Velde1+ Shots95%––✓ 3Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots90%93%-1250DNPBrandon Vázquez1+ Shots86%97%-3000✓ 1Kevin Kelsy2+ Shots82%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots on Target67%––DNPKristoffer Velde1+ Shots on Target65%79%-370✓ 1Brandon Vázquez1+ Shots on Target63%82%-450✗ 0Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots on Target63%––DNPDavid Da Costa1+ Shots on Target53%52%-110✓ 1Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kristoffer VeldeO0.527%48%+110✗ 0David Da CostaO0.521%49%+105✗ 0Brandon ByeO0.516%––DNPAriel LassiterO0.513%30%+230✗ 0Jimer ForyO0.511%29%+240DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy54%––DNPKristoffer Velde45%––✗ 0Myrto Uzuni36%––DNPDavid Da Costa35%––✗ 0Brandon Vázquez30%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsPortland Timbers lead 3-21 draw6–4 on goals