Nashville SC vs New York City FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Nashville0
NYCFC0Full timeYankee StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, September 4, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 0–0
xG1.6–1.3
New York City FCHOME✗42%1.6xG+139fair+229mktModel lean+11.5%Draw27%—xG+270fair+272mkt+0.2%
Nashville SCAWAY31%1.3xG+222fair+134mkt-11.7%O2.5 55% · mkt 55% ✗BTTS 59% · mkt 59% ✗
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals43%45%+145✗ 0Luighi Hanri1+ Goals32%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals31%34%+200✗ 0Warren Madrigal1+ Goals23%––DNPNicolás Fernández1+ Goals22%––✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots95%98%-4000✓ 5Sam Surridge1+ Shots91%98%-4000✓ 4Luighi Hanri1+ Shots88%––✓ 2Warren Madrigal1+ Shots86%––DNPNicolás Fernández1+ Shots84%––✓ 2Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target71%71%-250✗ 0Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target69%83%-500✓ 1Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target63%––✗ 0Luighi Hanri1+ Shots on Target58%––✗ 0Warren Madrigal1+ Shots on Target50%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.525%31%+220✗ 0Nicolás FernándezO0.517%––✗ 0Maxi MoralezO0.515%––DNPElias SaadO0.515%19%+430✗ 0Hany MukhtarO0.515%34%+190✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Sam Surridge49%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar42%––✗ 0Luighi Hanri37%––✗ 0Nicolás Fernández35%––✗ 0Cristian Espinoza35%––✗ 0Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 2 apiece2 draws7–8 on goals