MatchWiz

D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

DCD.C. UnitedCINCincinnati9:31 PM ETTQL Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, September 5, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
Postponed
xG2.11.5
CINFC CincinnatiHOME51%2.1xG-104fair-132mkt-5.9%
Draw22%xG+345fair+358mkt+0.6%
DCD.C. UnitedAWAY26%1.5xG+278fair+376mktModel lean+5.4%
O2.5 71%BTTS 70% · mkt 67%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
DCD.C. United11th28 pts6-10-7DLLDW
Home
CINFC Cincinnati7th31 pts8-7-8DWDLL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey1+ Goals46%49%+1100
Evander1+ Goals38%49%+1150
Louis Munteanu1+ Goals37%34%+2050
Jackson Hopkins1+ Goals21%21%+3750
Kenji Mboma Dem1+ Goals18%34%+1950
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots97%99%-100000
Kévin Denkey1+ Shots93%99%-100000
Evander2+ Shots91%97%-30000
Louis Munteanu2+ Shots86%91%-10000
Peglow1+ Shots85%94%-15000

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Evander1+ Shots on Target83%88%-7500
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots on Target75%77%-3400
Evander2+ Shots on Target53%62%-1650
Jackson Hopkins1+ Shots on Target49%66%-1900
Louis Munteanu2+ Shots on Target40%42%+1400
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
EvanderO0.537%49%+1050
Ender EcheniqueO0.521%34%+1950
PeglowO0.519%29%+2500
Gerardo ValenzuelaO0.515%32%+2100
Pavel BuchaO0.512%30%+2300

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
FC Cincinnati lead 3-21 draw78 on goals