Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami CF
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Atlanta2
Miami2Full timeNu StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–2
xG2.6–1.3
Inter Miami CFHOME✗66%2.6xG-190fair-259mkt-6.6%Draw18%—xG+444fair+547mkt+2.9%
Atlanta United FCAWAY16%1.3xG+521fair+708mkt+3.7%O2.5 75% ✓BTTS 68% · mkt 67% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Goals64%68%-210✗ 0Luis Suárez1+ Goals56%53%+120DNPGermán Berterame1+ Goals48%47%+130✗ 0Lionel Messi2+ Goals27%––✗ 0Miguel Almirón1+ Goals27%24%+330✓ 1Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots100%––✓ 6Lionel Messi2+ Shots99%––✓ 6Luis Suárez1+ Shots97%––DNPGermán Berterame1+ Shots96%––✓ 1Lionel Messi3+ Shots95%98%-4000✓ 6Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target93%96%-2500✓ 1Luis Suárez1+ Shots on Target83%92%-1100DNPLionel Messi2+ Shots on Target74%80%-390✗ 1Germán Berterame1+ Shots on Target71%90%-900✗ 0Mateo Silvetti1+ Shots on Target60%75%-300✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.544%64%-180✓ 1Rodrigo de PaulO0.536%29%+240✗ 0Luis SuárezO0.528%43%+130DNPGermán BerterameO0.524%33%+200✗ 0Miguel AlmirónO0.522%26%+290✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Lionel Messi80%––✓ 1Luis Suárez68%––DNPGermán Berterame60%––✗ 0Rodrigo de Paul45%––✗ 0Miguel Almirón43%––✓ 1Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsInter Miami CF lead 3-21 draw13–9 on goals