San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
San Jose1
Austin1Full timeQ2 StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 5, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
xG1.6–1.8
Austin FCHOME34%1.6xG+194fair+140mkt-7.7%Draw25%—xG+308fair+286mkt-1.4%
San Jose EarthquakesAWAY✗42%1.8xG+141fair+207mktModel lean+9.0%O2.5 66% ✗BTTS 67% · mkt 66% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Goals47%36%+180✗ 0Timo Werner1+ Goals43%33%+245DNPCristian Arango1+ Goals40%––DNPMyrto Uzuni1+ Goals31%36%+195DNPBrandon Vázquez1+ Goals26%38%+170✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Shots98%99%-7000✓ 1Cristian Arango1+ Shots97%––DNPTimo Werner1+ Shots93%98%-4000DNPMyrto Uzuni1+ Shots91%98%-4000DNPEduard Löwen1+ Shots89%––✗ 0Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Preston Judd1+ Shots on Target77%79%-370✗ 0Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target76%––DNPCristian Arango1+ Shots on Target73%––DNPMyrto Uzuni1+ Shots on Target63%78%-360DNPBrandon Vázquez1+ Shots on Target60%88%-700✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo WernerO0.530%22%+350DNPOusseni BoudaO0.520%15%+550✗ 0Cristian ArangoO0.520%––DNPNiko TsakirisO0.516%24%+320✓ 1Jamar RickettsO0.516%20%+400✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Timo Werner60%––DNPPreston Judd55%––✗ 0Cristian Arango52%––DNPOusseni Bouda37%––✗ 0Myrto Uzuni36%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 2 apiece2 draws13–11 on goals