MatchWiz
Scores Plays of the Day

Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

MINMinnesota4PORPortland5Full timeProvidence Park

Box score

Final

What the model says

Saturday, September 5, 2026
MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 5–4
xG1.7–1.6
PORPortland TimbersHOME✓41%1.7xG+146fair+152mkt+0.9%
Draw25%—xG+301fair+296mkt-0.3%
MINMinnesota United FCAWAY35%1.6xG+190fair+186mkt-0.4%
O2.5 64% ✓BTTS 66% · mkt 66% ✓
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

MLS table
Away
MINMinnesota United FC11th29 pts7-8-8DLWDL
Home
PORPortland Timbers8th31 pts9-4-10LWDLW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Goals43%––DNP
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Goals41%––DNP
Marcus Caldeira1+ Goals32%32%+235✓ 2
Dieng Mamadou1+ Goals30%35%+220DNP
Anthony Markanich1+ Goals28%18%+475✓ 1

Shots

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots94%––DNP
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots94%––DNP
Kristoffer Velde1+ Shots93%98%-5000✓ 3
Tomás Chancalay1+ Shots90%98%-5000✓ 2
Joaquín Pereyra1+ Shots88%94%-1500✓ 4

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots on Target69%––DNP
Dieng Mamadou1+ Shots on Target66%79%-380DNP
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots on Target62%––DNP
Kristoffer Velde1+ Shots on Target60%70%-230✓ 1
Tomás Chancalay1+ Shots on Target55%77%-340✓ 1

Assists

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Joaquín PereyraO0.530%29%+240✓ 1
Kristoffer VeldeO0.522%38%+165✗ 0
David Da CostaO0.517%39%+155✓ 1
Tomás ChancalayO0.515%26%+290✗ 0
Tani OluwaseyiO0.515%––DNP

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerOursMktPrice
Tani Oluwaseyi49%––DNP
Kevin Kelsy47%––DNP
Joaquín Pereyra43%––✓ 1
Marcus Caldeira38%––✓ 2
Kristoffer Velde38%––✓ 1

Our number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Level at 2 apiece2 draws12–11 on goals
Sep 5, 26Minnesota United FC at Portland Timbers4–5Apr 18, 26Portland Timbers at Minnesota United FC0–2Aug 30, 25Portland Timbers at Minnesota United FC1–1Jul 19, 25Minnesota United FC at Portland Timbers1–1Jun 29, 24Minnesota United FC at Portland Timbers2–3May 18, 24Portland Timbers at Minnesota United FC1–2