FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Cincinnati0
Philadelphia5Full timeSubaru ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, September 9, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 5–0
xG2.4–1.5
Philadelphia UnionHOME✓55%2.4xG-124fair-146mkt-3.9%Draw21%—xG+376fair+391mkt+0.6%
FC CincinnatiAWAY24%1.5xG+324fair+391mkt+3.2%O2.5 74% ✓BTTS 71% · mkt 68% ✗1H O1.5 52% ✓
FS1 · Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals50%51%+100✓ 1Kévin Denkey1+ Goals43%33%+205✗ 0Bruno Damiani1+ Goals39%48%+115✓ 3Evander1+ Goals36%33%+220✗ 0Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals33%31%+230✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots99%––✓ 3Evander1+ Shots98%97%-3000✗ 0Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots95%99%-7000✓ 3Milan Iloski2+ Shots94%99%-7000✓ 3Kévin Denkey1+ Shots92%95%-2000✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target83%90%-900✓ 1Evander1+ Shots on Target82%74%-290✗ 0Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target71%71%-250✗ 0Kévin Denkey1+ Shots on Target70%71%-250✗ 0Brenner1+ Shots on Target64%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
EvanderO0.532%33%+200✗ 0Cavan SullivanO0.527%33%+200✓ 1Frankie WestfieldO0.524%36%+175✗ 0Kai WagnerO0.524%39%+155✗ 0Milan IloskiO0.521%26%+290✗ 0Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski60%––✓ 1Evander57%––✗ 0Cavan Sullivan51%––✓ 1Kévin Denkey49%––✗ 0Bruno Damiani46%––✓ 3The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 3 apiece8–14 on goals