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Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders FC

The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.

SKCKansas City1SEASeattle2Full timeLumen Field

Box score

Final

What the model says

Thursday, October 1, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–1
xG2.1–1.3
SEASeattle Sounders FCHOME✓56%2.1xG-127fair-152mkt-4.5%
Draw23%—xG+343fair+395mkt+2.4%
SKCSporting Kansas CityAWAY22%1.3xG+365fair+410mkt+1.9%
O2.5 66% ✓BTTS 64% · mkt 67% ✓1H O1.5 45% · mkt 50% ✓
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.

Going in

MLS table
Away
SKCSporting Kansas City15th21 pts6-3-18LWLWL
Home
SEASeattle Sounders FC7th38 pts10-8-9DDWWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dejan Joveljic1+ Goals37%49%+105DNP
Taylor Calheira1+ Goals33%29%+275✗ 0
Osaze De Rosario1+ Goals31%––DNP
Danny Musovski1+ Goals30%47%+120✗ 0
Stephen Afrifa1+ Goals29%26%+300✗ 0

Shots

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dejan Joveljic1+ Shots94%––DNP
Albert Rusnák1+ Shots92%––✓ 3
André Luiz1+ Shots89%99%-7000✓ 5
Taylor Calheira1+ Shots88%92%-1100✓ 4
Jordan Morris1+ Shots88%99%-10000✓ 3

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dejan Joveljic1+ Shots on Target74%––DNP
Jordan Morris1+ Shots on Target66%85%-550✓ 2
André Luiz1+ Shots on Target63%73%-270✓ 2
Taylor Calheira1+ Shots on Target61%62%-165✓ 2
Albert Rusnák1+ Shots on Target60%76%-310✓ 1

Assists

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Albert RusnákO0.526%43%+130✗ 0
Jordan MorrisO0.523%26%+280✓ 1
Paul RothrockO0.517%––DNP
Jesús FerreiraO0.516%58%-140DNP
Taylor CalheiraO0.514%20%+410✗ 0

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dejan Joveljic46%––DNP
Jordan Morris45%––✓ 1
Albert Rusnák45%––✗ 0
Taylor Calheira43%––✗ 0
Paul Rothrock37%––DNP

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Seattle Sounders FC lead 4-11 draw14–8 on goals
Oct 1, 26Sporting Kansas City at Seattle Sounders FC1–2May 2, 26Seattle Sounders FC at Sporting Kansas City1–1Aug 24, 25Sporting Kansas City at Seattle Sounders FC2–5Jul 12, 25Seattle Sounders FC at Sporting Kansas City3–2Sep 15, 24Sporting Kansas City at Seattle Sounders FC0–2Jun 8, 24Seattle Sounders FC at Sporting Kansas City1–2