Houston Dynamo FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Houston0
San Jose1Full timePayPal ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, September 12, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 1–0
xG1.6–1.2
San Jose EarthquakesHOME✓44%1.6xG+127fair+156mktModel lean+5.0%Draw27%—xG+269fair+268mkt-0.1%
Houston Dynamo FCAWAY29%1.2xG+246fair+198mkt-4.7%O2.5 54% · mkt 56% ✗BTTS 58% · mkt 61% ✗1H O1.5 36% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Timo Werner1+ Goals31%––DNPMateusz Bogusz1+ Goals31%26%+310✗ 0Cristian Arango1+ Goals27%––DNPGuilherme1+ Goals27%32%+220✗ 0Ezequiel Ponce1+ Goals20%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Shots95%99%-10000✓ 3Guilherme1+ Shots94%98%-5000✓ 2Cristian Arango1+ Shots93%––DNPTimo Werner1+ Shots87%––DNPEduard Löwen1+ Shots81%––✓ 3Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Shots on Target71%78%-360✓ 1Guilherme1+ Shots on Target71%75%-300✗ 0Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target66%––DNPCristian Arango1+ Shots on Target62%––DNPOusseni Bouda1+ Shots on Target48%68%-210✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Timo WernerO0.521%––DNPNiko TsakirisO0.517%24%+320✗ 0GuilhermeO0.517%33%+200✗ 0Jack McGlynnO0.515%––DNPCristian ArangoO0.514%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Timo Werner46%––DNPGuilherme39%––✗ 0Mateusz Bogusz38%––✗ 0Cristian Arango37%––DNPNiko Tsakiris34%––✗ 0The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 2 apiece2 draws7–7 on goals
Sep 12, 26Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes0–1Aug 29, 26San Jose Earthquakes at Houston Dynamo FC0–0Aug 23, 25San Jose Earthquakes at Houston Dynamo FC2–1May 24, 25Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes3–3Jul 17, 24Houston Dynamo FC at San Jose Earthquakes1–0Mar 30, 24San Jose Earthquakes at Houston Dynamo FC1–2