Just now
New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
NYCFC–
Atlanta–7:30 PM ETMercedes-Benz Stadium📺 Apple TVLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 26, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG1.5–1.3
Atlanta United FCHOME41%1.5xG+146fair+131mkt-2.5%Draw28%—xG+263fair+284mkt+1.5%
New York City FCAWAY32%1.3xG+215fair+225mkt+0.9%O2.5 53% · mkt 56%BTTS 58%1H O1.5 36%
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alonso Martínez1+ Goals43%––Luighi Hanri1+ Goals39%––Breel Embolo1+ Goals34%––Miguel Almirón1+ Goals33%––Emmanuel Latte Lath1+ Goals24%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alonso Martínez1+ Shots94%––Miguel Almirón1+ Shots90%––Breel Embolo1+ Shots90%––Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots89%––Luighi Hanri1+ Shots89%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alonso Martínez1+ Shots on Target68%––Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target66%––Breel Embolo1+ Shots on Target65%––Luighi Hanri1+ Shots on Target61%––Miguel Almirón1+ Shots on Target59%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Nicolás FernándezO0.523%––Miguel AlmirónO0.520%––Maxi MoralezO0.517%––Aleksey MiranchukO0.515%––Agustín OjedaO0.515%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Alonso Martínez48%––Miguel Almirón46%––Luighi Hanri43%––Nicolás Fernández41%––Breel Embolo40%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 1 apiece4 draws13–10 on goals