MatchWiz
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Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

ORLOrlandoPHIPhiladelphia7:30 PM ETSubaru Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, September 26, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG2.71.5
PHIPhiladelphia UnionHOME61%2.7xG-157fair-189mkt-4.3%
Draw19%xG+431fair+453mkt+0.7%
ORLOrlando City SCAWAY20%1.5xG+398fair+507mkt+3.6%
O2.5 79%BTTS 74%1H O1.5 56%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
ORLOrlando City SC7th34 pts10-4-12DWWWL
Home
PHIPhiladelphia Union6th36 pts10-6-10WWWWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals58%
Antoine Griezmann1+ Goals50%
Bruno Damiani1+ Goals46%
Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals37%
Mikael Uhre1+ Goals29%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots99%
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots96%
Antoine Griezmann1+ Shots96%
Milan Iloski2+ Shots95%
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots95%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target84%
Antoine Griezmann1+ Shots on Target79%
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target74%
Martín Ojeda1+ Shots on Target66%
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots on Target64%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cavan SullivanO0.530%
Justin EllisO0.529%
Frankie WestfieldO0.528%
Kai WagnerO0.525%
Antoine GriezmannO0.521%

Score or Assist

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski67%
Antoine Griezmann60%
Cavan Sullivan56%
Bruno Damiani54%
Justin Ellis48%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Orlando City SC lead 3-12 draws1312 on goals