MatchWiz
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Minnesota United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

MINMinnesotaSEASeattle8:30 PM ETLumen Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, September 26, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.91.6
SEASeattle Sounders FCHOME44%1.9xG+129fair+122mkt-1.4%
Draw24%xG+317fair+300mkt-1.0%
MINMinnesota United FCAWAY32%1.6xG+210fair+235mkt+2.4%
O2.5 68%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
MINMinnesota United FC14th29 pts7-8-11DLLLL
Home
SEASeattle Sounders FC13th29 pts7-8-9DDDDD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kelvin Yeboah1+ Goals51%
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Goals43%
Marcus Caldeira1+ Goals37%
Dejan Joveljic1+ Goals35%
Dieng Mamadou1+ Goals31%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots95%
Kelvin Yeboah1+ Shots94%
Dejan Joveljic1+ Shots92%
Albert Rusnák1+ Shots91%
Marcus Caldeira1+ Shots90%

Shots on Target

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PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kelvin Yeboah1+ Shots on Target75%
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots on Target72%
Dejan Joveljic1+ Shots on Target70%
Dieng Mamadou1+ Shots on Target66%
Marcus Caldeira1+ Shots on Target64%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Joaquín PereyraO0.531%
Albert RusnákO0.521%
Paul RothrockO0.515%
Jordan MorrisO0.515%
Tani OluwaseyiO0.515%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kelvin Yeboah55%
Tani Oluwaseyi52%
Marcus Caldeira44%
Joaquín Pereyra44%
Dejan Joveljic42%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Minnesota United FC lead 2-13 draws99 on goals