MatchWiz
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San Diego FC vs Austin FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

SDSan DiegoATXAustin8:30 PM ETQ2 Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, September 26, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.41.5
ATXAustin FCHOME35%1.4xG+187fair+144mkt-6.1%
Draw27%xG+268fair+303mkt+2.4%
SDSan Diego FCAWAY38%1.5xG+163fair+192mkt+3.8%
O2.5 55%BTTS 59%1H O1.5 37%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
SDSan Diego FC10th30 pts8-6-11WLLLD
Home
ATXAustin FC11th30 pts7-9-10WDDWD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer1+ Goals34%
Marcus Ingvartsen1+ Goals33%
Mohamed Elias Achouri1+ Goals25%
Myrto Uzuni1+ Goals24%
Jáder Obrian1+ Goals21%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer1+ Shots95%
Marcus Ingvartsen1+ Shots90%
Mohamed Elias Achouri1+ Shots88%
Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots88%
Gabriel Pirani1+ Shots83%

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer1+ Shots on Target73%
Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots on Target58%
Mohamed Elias Achouri1+ Shots on Target58%
Marcus Ingvartsen1+ Shots on Target58%
Gabriel Pirani1+ Shots on Target49%
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders DreyerO0.528%
Facundo TorresO0.514%
Tomás ÁngelO0.513%
Mohamed Elias AchouriO0.512%
Marcus IngvartsenO0.512%

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer53%
Marcus Ingvartsen41%
Mohamed Elias Achouri34%
Myrto Uzuni31%
Tomás Ángel28%

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
San Diego FC lead 2-182 on goals