MatchWiz
Just now

New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

NYCNYCFC–CHIChicago–2:30 PM ETSoldier Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
2:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.2
CHIChicago Fire FCHOME51%1.8xG-104fair-105mkt-0.3%
Draw25%—xG+302fair+314mkt+0.7%
NYCNew York City FCAWAY24%1.2xG+315fair+314mkt-0.1%
O2.5 59% · mkt 60%BTTS 60%1H O1.5 40%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
NYCNew York City FC9th33 pts8-9-10DLWLD
Home
CHIChicago Fire FC4th45 pts13-6-8DLLWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hugo Cuypers1+ Goals49%––
Robert Lewandowski1+ Goals42%––
Alonso Martínez1+ Goals40%––
Philip Zinckernagel1+ Goals33%––
Luighi Hanri1+ Goals31%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Philip Zinckernagel1+ Shots95%––
Hugo Cuypers1+ Shots95%––
Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots94%––
Alonso Martínez1+ Shots93%––
Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots89%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hugo Cuypers1+ Shots on Target76%––
Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots on Target68%––
Alonso Martínez1+ Shots on Target66%––
Philip Zinckernagel1+ Shots on Target66%––
Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target65%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Philip ZinckernagelO0.525%––
Nicolás FernándezO0.521%––
Maxi MoralezO0.516%––
Maren Haile-SelassieO0.516%––
Agustín OjedaO0.514%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hugo Cuypers54%––
Philip Zinckernagel49%––
Robert Lewandowski48%––
Alonso Martínez46%––
Nicolás Fernández38%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
New York City FC lead 4-02 draws12–5 on goals