MatchWiz
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D.C. United vs Inter Miami CF

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

DCD.C. United–MIAMiami–7:30 PM ETNu Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG2.5–1.6
MIAInter Miami CFHOME58%2.5xG-139fair-213mkt-9.9%
Draw20%—xG+407fair+481mkt+2.5%
DCD.C. UnitedAWAY22%1.6xG+352fair+572mktModel lean+7.2%
O2.5 78%BTTS 74%1H O1.5 55%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
DCD.C. United11th30 pts6-12-8DWDLD
Home
MIAInter Miami CF3rd46 pts12-10-5DDDDL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Goals62%––
Luis Suárez1+ Goals50%––
Tai Baribo1+ Goals49%––
Germán Berterame1+ Goals46%––
Christian Benteke1+ Goals43%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots100%––
Lionel Messi2+ Shots99%––
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots97%––
Lionel Messi3+ Shots96%––
Christian Benteke1+ Shots95%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target94%––
Lionel Messi2+ Shots on Target78%––
Luis Suárez1+ Shots on Target78%––
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots on Target74%––
Christian Benteke1+ Shots on Target73%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.543%––
Rodrigo de PaulO0.529%––
Luis SuárezO0.525%––
PeglowO0.522%––
Jordi AlbaO0.522%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi78%––
Luis Suárez62%––
Germán Berterame58%––
Tai Baribo55%––
Christian Benteke51%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Inter Miami CF lead 4-02 draws12–7 on goals