MatchWiz
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FC Cincinnati vs Atlanta United FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

CINCincinnati–ATLAtlanta–7:30 PM ETMercedes-Benz Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG1.9–1.6
ATLAtlanta United FCHOME45%1.9xG+122fair+151mktModel lean+5.1%
Draw24%—xG+323fair+320mkt-0.2%
CINFC CincinnatiAWAY31%1.6xG+219fair+176mkt-4.9%
O2.5 69%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
CINFC Cincinnati10th33 pts8-9-9LLDDL
Home
ATLAtlanta United FC14th27 pts7-6-14DLDWD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey1+ Goals53%––
Miguel Almirón1+ Goals38%––
Breel Embolo1+ Goals36%––
Brenner1+ Goals30%––
Evander1+ Goals29%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey1+ Shots96%––
Evander1+ Shots96%––
Miguel Almirón1+ Shots93%––
Breel Embolo1+ Shots93%––
Brenner1+ Shots91%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey1+ Shots on Target78%––
Evander1+ Shots on Target73%––
Breel Embolo1+ Shots on Target70%––
Miguel Almirón1+ Shots on Target65%––
Brenner1+ Shots on Target65%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
EvanderO0.532%––
Miguel AlmirónO0.523%––
Aleksey MiranchukO0.519%––
Ender EcheniqueO0.518%––
BrennerO0.518%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey58%––
Miguel Almirón52%––
Evander52%––
Breel Embolo43%––
Brenner42%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
FC Cincinnati lead 3-12 draws11–9 on goals