MatchWiz
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San Diego FC vs Red Bull New York

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

SDSan Diego–RBNYRed Bull NY–7:30 PM ETSports Illustrated Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG1.9–1.6
RBNYRed Bull New YorkHOME44%1.9xG+129fair+174mktModel lean+7.3%
Draw24%—xG+318fair+305mkt-0.8%
SDSan Diego FCAWAY32%1.6xG+209fair+157mkt-6.5%
O2.5 68%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
SDSan Diego FC12th32 pts8-8-11LLLDD
Home
RBNYRed Bull New York8th33 pts9-6-12DLWWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer1+ Goals38%––
Julian Hall1+ Goals37%––
Mohamed Elias Achouri1+ Goals31%––
Marcus Ingvartsen1+ Goals30%––
Cédric Bakambu1+ Goals23%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer1+ Shots96%––
Mohamed Elias Achouri1+ Shots93%––
Marcus Ingvartsen1+ Shots90%––
Julian Hall1+ Shots87%––
Anders Dreyer2+ Shots84%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer1+ Shots on Target76%––
Mohamed Elias Achouri1+ Shots on Target65%––
Julian Hall1+ Shots on Target61%––
Cade Cowell1+ Shots on Target55%––
Marcus Ingvartsen1+ Shots on Target55%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders DreyerO0.532%––
Cade CowellO0.522%––
Mohamed Elias AchouriO0.517%––
Jeppe TverskovO0.516%––
Tomás ÁngelO0.513%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Anders Dreyer58%––
Julian Hall44%––
Mohamed Elias Achouri43%––
Marcus Ingvartsen40%––
Cade Cowell34%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).