MatchWiz
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Houston Dynamo FC vs Minnesota United FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

HOUHouston–MINMinnesota–8:30 PM ETAllianz Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.6–1.1
MINMinnesota United FCHOME48%1.6xG+110fair+121mkt+2.5%
Draw27%—xG+274fair+287mkt+0.9%
HOUHouston Dynamo FCAWAY26%1.1xG+292fair+245mkt-3.5%
O2.5 53% · mkt 57%BTTS 56%1H O1.5 36%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
HOUHouston Dynamo FC5th44 pts13-5-9DWLDL
Home
MINMinnesota United FC14th29 pts7-8-12LLLLL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kelvin Yeboah1+ Goals40%––
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Goals34%––
Marcus Caldeira1+ Goals29%––
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Goals26%––
Dieng Mamadou1+ Goals24%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Shots93%––
Guilherme1+ Shots93%––
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots91%––
Kelvin Yeboah1+ Shots88%––
Marcus Caldeira1+ Shots86%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Guilherme1+ Shots on Target65%––
Tani Oluwaseyi1+ Shots on Target64%––
Mateusz Bogusz1+ Shots on Target64%––
Kelvin Yeboah1+ Shots on Target63%––
Dieng Mamadou1+ Shots on Target59%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Joaquín PereyraO0.526%––
GuilhermeO0.515%––
Jack McGlynnO0.514%––
Anthony MarkanichO0.514%––
Tani OluwaseyiO0.513%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kelvin Yeboah44%––
Tani Oluwaseyi42%––
Joaquín Pereyra37%––
Marcus Caldeira34%––
Mateusz Bogusz34%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Minnesota United FC lead 3-21 draw9–6 on goals