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Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

PORPortland–SKCKansas City–8:30 PM ETSporting Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.7–1.8
SKCSporting Kansas CityHOME37%1.7xG+172fair+149mkt-3.4%
Draw24%—xG+316fair+324mkt+0.5%
PORPortland TimbersAWAY39%1.8xG+155fair+175mkt+2.9%
O2.5 68%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
PORPortland Timbers10th32 pts9-5-13WDLLL
Home
SKCSporting Kansas City15th21 pts6-3-18LWLWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Goals53%––
Vincent Janssen1+ Goals43%––
Taylor Calheira1+ Goals34%––
Kristoffer Velde1+ Goals31%––
Stephen Afrifa1+ Goals29%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kristoffer Velde1+ Shots98%––
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots97%––
André Luiz1+ Shots94%––
Kristoffer Velde2+ Shots92%––
Vincent Janssen1+ Shots91%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots on Target70%––
André Luiz1+ Shots on Target70%––
Kristoffer Velde1+ Shots on Target70%––
Vincent Janssen1+ Shots on Target68%––
Taylor Calheira1+ Shots on Target63%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kristoffer VeldeO0.529%––
David Da CostaO0.524%––
Cole BassettO0.518%––
Brandon ByeO0.517%––
Ariel LassiterO0.517%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy58%––
Kristoffer Velde51%––
Vincent Janssen51%––
Taylor Calheira44%––
David Da Costa39%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Portland Timbers lead 4-11 draw17–10 on goals