MatchWiz
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Nashville SC vs Austin FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

NSHNashville–ATXAustin–8:30 PM ETQ2 Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.2–1.6
ATXAustin FCHOME28%1.2xG+259fair+304mkt+3.1%
Draw27%—xG+272fair+297mkt+1.7%
NSHNashville SCAWAY45%1.6xG+121fair-100mkt-4.9%
O2.5 54% · mkt 55%BTTS 58%1H O1.5 37%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
NSHNashville SC1st60 pts18-6-3DLDWW
Home
ATXAustin FC13th31 pts7-10-10DDWDD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals51%––
Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals35%––
Warren Madrigal1+ Goals26%––
Elias Saad1+ Goals23%––
Myrto Uzuni1+ Goals21%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots97%––
Sam Surridge1+ Shots96%––
Warren Madrigal1+ Shots89%––
Hany Mukhtar2+ Shots85%––
Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots85%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target78%––
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target71%––
Warren Madrigal1+ Shots on Target55%––
Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots on Target53%––
Cristian Espinoza1+ Shots on Target48%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.528%––
Hany MukhtarO0.520%––
Elias SaadO0.517%––
Andy NajarO0.516%––
Warren MadrigalO0.516%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge57%––
Hany Mukhtar48%––
Cristian Espinoza42%––
Warren Madrigal37%––
Elias Saad36%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last meeting
Austin FC lead 1-02–0 on goals