MatchWiz
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

SJSan Jose–COLColorado–9:30 PM ETDick's Sporting Goods Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 10, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
9:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.3
COLColorado RapidsHOME47%1.8xG+113fair+105mkt-1.8%
Draw25%—xG+297fair+304mkt+0.4%
SJSan Jose EarthquakesAWAY28%1.3xG+258fair+277mkt+1.4%
O2.5 61%BTTS 63%1H O1.5 41%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
SJSan Jose Earthquakes4th45 pts13-6-8DWWDW
Home
COLColorado Rapids8th36 pts11-3-13LDWDL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Morgan Whittaker1+ Goals36%––
Donavan Phillip1+ Goals30%––
Cristian Arango1+ Goals29%––
Timo Werner1+ Goals26%––
Niko Tsakiris1+ Goals23%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Morgan Whittaker1+ Shots97%––
Cristian Arango1+ Shots94%––
Eduard Löwen1+ Shots90%––
Donavan Phillip1+ Shots86%––
Morgan Whittaker2+ Shots85%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Morgan Whittaker1+ Shots on Target71%––
Cristian Arango1+ Shots on Target64%––
Donavan Phillip1+ Shots on Target61%––
Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target56%––
Paxten Aaronson1+ Shots on Target51%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Paxten AaronsonO0.520%––
Niko TsakirisO0.519%––
Morgan WhittakerO0.519%––
Cristian ArangoO0.517%––
Timo WernerO0.515%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Morgan Whittaker48%––
Cristian Arango41%––
Donavan Phillip38%––
Niko Tsakiris38%––
Timo Werner38%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
San Jose Earthquakes lead 3-21 draw7–7 on goals