MatchWiz
Just now

LA Galaxy vs St. Louis CITY SC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

LALA Galaxy–STLSt. Louis–7:00 PM ETEnergizer Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Sunday, October 11, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:00 PM ET
xG2.3–1.3
STLSt. Louis CITY SCHOME60%2.3xG-147fair-137mkt+1.7%
Draw21%—xG+375fair+385mkt+0.4%
LALA GalaxyAWAY19%1.3xG+414fair+370mkt-1.8%
O2.5 69%BTTS 66%1H O1.5 48%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
LALA Galaxy9th36 pts9-9-10WLDWW
Home
STLSt. Louis CITY SC2nd47 pts13-8-6WDWWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rafael Navarro1+ Goals51%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Goals36%––
Carlo Holse1+ Goals35%––
Gabriel Pec1+ Goals31%––
Joseph Paintsil1+ Goals28%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots97%––
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots96%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots95%––
Hirving Lozano1+ Shots93%––
Carlo Holse1+ Shots90%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots on Target77%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots on Target76%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots on Target73%––
Carlo Holse1+ Shots on Target63%––
Joseph Paintsil1+ Shots on Target61%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel HartelO0.529%––
Alexandru MatanO0.520%––
Conrad WallemO0.519%––
Tomas TotlandO0.518%––
Gabriel PecO0.518%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rafael Navarro57%––
Marcel Hartel55%––
Carlo Holse45%––
Gabriel Pec44%––
Joseph Paintsil35%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
St. Louis CITY SC lead 3-03 draws16–10 on goals