MLS Match Board — Sunday, October 11, 2026

Every MLS match on Sunday, October 11, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 239 of 405 on Over 2.5, 167 of 405 on BTTS.

Sunday, October 11

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge

7:00 PM ET

xG2.3–1.3

Match page →

St. Louis CITY SCHOME59%2.3xG-147fair-137mkt+1.7%

Draw21%—xG+375fair+385mkt+0.4%

LA GalaxyAWAY19%1.3xG+414fair+370mkt-1.8%

O2.5 69%BTTS 66%1H O1.5 48%

Apple TV

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).