MatchWiz
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New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

NYCNYCFC–MIAMiami–7:30 PM ETNu Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG2.2–1.4
MIAInter Miami CFHOME54%2.2xG-117fair-185mkt-11.0%
Draw22%—xG+349fair+435mkt+3.6%
NYCNew York City FCAWAY24%1.4xG+319fair+513mktModel lean+7.5%
O2.5 69%BTTS 68%1H O1.5 48%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
NYCNew York City FC9th33 pts8-9-10DLWLD
Home
MIAInter Miami CF3rd46 pts12-10-5DDDDL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Goals56%––
Luis Suárez1+ Goals45%––
Alonso Martínez1+ Goals45%––
Germán Berterame1+ Goals41%––
Luighi Hanri1+ Goals35%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots100%––
Lionel Messi2+ Shots98%––
Alonso Martínez1+ Shots95%––
Lionel Messi3+ Shots94%––
Luis Suárez1+ Shots93%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target92%––
Luis Suárez1+ Shots on Target74%––
Lionel Messi2+ Shots on Target73%––
Alonso Martínez1+ Shots on Target70%––
Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target68%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.538%––
Rodrigo de PaulO0.525%––
Nicolás FernándezO0.524%––
Luis SuárezO0.521%––
Jordi AlbaO0.519%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi73%––
Luis Suárez57%––
Germán Berterame52%––
Alonso Martínez51%––
Nicolás Fernández43%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Inter Miami CF lead 3-03 draws16–7 on goals