MatchWiz
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New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

NENew England–CINCincinnati–7:30 PM ETTQL Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG2.0–1.8
CINFC CincinnatiHOME43%2.0xG+134fair+116mkt-3.6%
Draw23%—xG+337fair+342mkt+0.2%
NENew England RevolutionAWAY34%1.8xG+190fair+223mkt+3.5%
O2.5 73%BTTS 73%1H O1.5 51%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
NENew England Revolution2nd46 pts14-4-9LWWWL
Home
CINFC Cincinnati10th33 pts8-9-9LLDDL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey1+ Goals50%––
Dor Turgeman1+ Goals42%––
Carles Gil1+ Goals39%––
Peyton Miller1+ Goals35%––
Leonardo Campana1+ Goals31%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Peyton Miller1+ Shots96%––
Kévin Denkey1+ Shots96%––
Evander1+ Shots95%––
Dor Turgeman1+ Shots94%––
Carles Gil1+ Shots94%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Peyton Miller1+ Shots on Target78%––
Kévin Denkey1+ Shots on Target77%––
Carles Gil1+ Shots on Target73%––
Evander1+ Shots on Target71%––
Dor Turgeman1+ Shots on Target67%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Jack HarrisonO0.531%––
EvanderO0.530%––
Carles GilO0.525%––
Peyton MillerO0.523%––
Ender EcheniqueO0.517%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kévin Denkey56%––
Carles Gil54%––
Dor Turgeman51%––
Peyton Miller50%––
Evander49%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
FC Cincinnati lead 3-21 draw8–11 on goals