MatchWiz
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Red Bull New York vs D.C. United

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

RBNYRed Bull NY–DCD.C. United–7:30 PM ETAudi Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG2.1–1.5
DCD.C. UnitedHOME49%2.1xG+102fair-115mkt-4.0%
Draw23%—xG+337fair+330mkt-0.4%
RBNYRed Bull New YorkAWAY28%1.5xG+262fair+330mktModel lean+4.4%
O2.5 70%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 48%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
RBNYRed Bull New York8th33 pts9-6-12DLWWL
Home
DCD.C. United11th30 pts6-12-8DWDLD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Tai Baribo1+ Goals49%––
Christian Benteke1+ Goals43%––
Julian Hall1+ Goals39%––
Louis Munteanu1+ Goals37%––
Kimito Nono1+ Goals31%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots97%––
Christian Benteke1+ Shots95%––
Tai Baribo1+ Shots94%––
Kimito Nono1+ Shots90%––
Julian Hall1+ Shots88%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Louis Munteanu1+ Shots on Target74%––
Christian Benteke1+ Shots on Target72%––
Tai Baribo1+ Shots on Target71%––
Julian Hall1+ Shots on Target63%––
Kimito Nono1+ Shots on Target57%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cade CowellO0.524%––
PeglowO0.522%––
Louis MunteanuO0.521%––
Kimito NonoO0.520%––
Keisuke KurokawaO0.516%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Tai Baribo54%––
Christian Benteke51%––
Louis Munteanu50%––
Julian Hall46%––
Kimito Nono45%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Red Bull New York lead 3-12 draws18–12 on goals