Just now
Sporting Kansas City vs Nashville SC
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Kansas City–
Nashville–8:30 PM ETGEODIS Park📺 Apple TVLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 14, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG2.3–1.1
Nashville SCHOME63%2.3xG-170fair-284mkt-10.9%Draw21%—xG+382fair+544mktModel lean+5.2%
Sporting Kansas CityAWAY16%1.1xG+517fair+829mktModel lean+5.5%O2.5 66%BTTS 61%1H O1.5 45%
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals53%––Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals37%––Taylor Calheira1+ Goals29%––Warren Madrigal1+ Goals27%––Stephen Afrifa1+ Goals26%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots97%––Sam Surridge1+ Shots96%––André Luiz1+ Shots91%––Warren Madrigal1+ Shots90%––Hany Mukhtar2+ Shots87%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target79%––Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target72%––André Luiz1+ Shots on Target66%––Taylor Calheira1+ Shots on Target59%––Warren Madrigal1+ Shots on Target56%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.529%––Hany MukhtarO0.521%––Elias SaadO0.518%––Andy NajarO0.517%––Warren MadrigalO0.517%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge59%––Hany Mukhtar50%––Cristian Espinoza44%––Warren Madrigal39%––Taylor Calheira39%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last meetingNashville SC lead 1-03–0 on goals