MatchWiz
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Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis CITY SC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

VANVancouver–STLSt. Louis–8:30 PM ETEnergizer Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.7
STLSt. Louis CITY SCHOME40%1.8xG+153fair+192mktModel lean+5.3%
Draw24%—xG+311fair+303mkt-0.5%
VANVancouver WhitecapsAWAY36%1.7xG+177fair+144mkt-4.9%
O2.5 67%BTTS 68%1H O1.5 46%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
VANVancouver Whitecaps1st50 pts15-5-7WLWDL
Home
STLSt. Louis CITY SC2nd47 pts13-8-6WDWWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Brian White1+ Goals57%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Goals43%––
Thomas Müller1+ Goals34%––
Ryan Gauld1+ Goals30%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Goals29%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Brian White1+ Shots98%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots95%––
Thomas Müller1+ Shots93%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots92%––
Ryan Gauld1+ Shots90%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Brian White1+ Shots on Target83%––
Thomas Müller1+ Shots on Target72%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots on Target69%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots on Target66%––
Ryan Gauld1+ Shots on Target58%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Thomas MüllerO0.531%––
Sebastian BerhalterO0.525%––
Ryan GauldO0.524%––
Marcel HartelO0.523%––
Ali AhmedO0.522%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Brian White62%––
Thomas Müller55%––
Rafael Navarro47%––
Ryan Gauld47%––
Marcel Hartel45%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Vancouver Whitecaps lead 4-11 draw15–9 on goals