MatchWiz
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Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire FC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

PHIPhiladelphia–CHIChicago–8:30 PM ETSoldier Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.9–1.6
CHIChicago Fire FCHOME42%1.9xG+136fair+176mktModel lean+6.1%
Draw24%—xG+316fair+332mkt+0.9%
PHIPhiladelphia UnionAWAY34%1.6xG+197fair+146mkt-7.0%
O2.5 68%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
PHIPhiladelphia Union6th39 pts11-6-10WWWWW
Home
CHIChicago Fire FC4th45 pts13-6-8DLLWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals50%––
Hugo Cuypers1+ Goals49%––
Robert Lewandowski1+ Goals42%––
Bruno Damiani1+ Goals39%––
Philip Zinckernagel1+ Goals33%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots98%––
Philip Zinckernagel1+ Shots96%––
Hugo Cuypers1+ Shots95%––
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots94%––
Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots94%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target79%––
Hugo Cuypers1+ Shots on Target76%––
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target70%––
Robert Lewandowski1+ Shots on Target68%––
Philip Zinckernagel1+ Shots on Target66%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Philip ZinckernagelO0.525%––
Cavan SullivanO0.524%––
Frankie WestfieldO0.522%––
Kai WagnerO0.519%––
Milan IloskiO0.516%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski58%––
Hugo Cuypers54%––
Philip Zinckernagel50%––
Robert Lewandowski48%––
Cavan Sullivan47%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Philadelphia Union lead 3-21 draw14–8 on goals