MatchWiz
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San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

SJSan Jose–RSLSalt Lake–9:30 PM ETAmerica First Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
9:30 PM ET
xG1.7–1.6
RSLReal Salt LakeHOME40%1.7xG+148fair-115mkt-13.1%
Draw25%—xG+305fair+340mkt+2.0%
SJSan Jose EarthquakesAWAY35%1.6xG+186fair+319mktModel lean+11.1%
O2.5 65%BTTS 67%1H O1.5 45%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
SJSan Jose Earthquakes4th45 pts13-6-8DWWDW
Home
RSLReal Salt Lake11th32 pts9-5-13LLLLW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sergi Solans1+ Goals38%––
Cristian Arango1+ Goals33%––
Timo Werner1+ Goals31%––
Niko Tsakiris1+ Goals27%––
Rwan Cruz1+ Goals26%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian Arango1+ Shots96%––
Eduard Löwen1+ Shots92%––
Diogo Gonçalves1+ Shots90%––
Zavier Gozo1+ Shots88%––
Sergi Solans1+ Shots88%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian Arango1+ Shots on Target69%––
Timo Werner1+ Shots on Target61%––
Sergi Solans1+ Shots on Target60%––
Morgan Guilavogui1+ Shots on Target58%––
Diogo Gonçalves1+ Shots on Target58%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Niko TsakirisO0.522%––
Morgan GuilavoguiO0.522%––
Cristian ArangoO0.520%––
Juan Manuel SanabriaO0.518%––
Timo WernerO0.518%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian Arango47%––
Niko Tsakiris43%––
Timo Werner43%––
Sergi Solans43%––
Ousseni Bouda37%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Level at 3 apiece10–7 on goals