MatchWiz
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Austin FC vs LAFC

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

ATXAustin–LAFCLAFC–10:30 PM ETBMO Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
10:30 PM ET
xG2.0–1.0
LAFCLAFCHOME59%2.0xG-146fair-205mkt-7.9%
Draw23%—xG+333fair+424mktModel lean+4.0%
ATXAustin FCAWAY18%1.0xG+468fair+632mkt+4.0%
O2.5 58%BTTS 56%1H O1.5 40%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
ATXAustin FC13th31 pts7-10-10DDWDD
Home
LAFCLAFC6th41 pts11-8-9DWLDL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Son Heung-Min1+ Goals40%––
Dénis Bouanga1+ Goals39%––
Jeremy Ebobisse1+ Goals32%––
Myrto Uzuni1+ Goals23%––
Javairô Dilrosun1+ Goals20%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Son Heung-Min1+ Shots98%––
Dénis Bouanga1+ Shots97%––
Son Heung-Min2+ Shots91%––
Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots87%––
Dénis Bouanga2+ Shots85%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dénis Bouanga1+ Shots on Target80%––
Son Heung-Min1+ Shots on Target74%––
Myrto Uzuni1+ Shots on Target56%––
Jeremy Ebobisse1+ Shots on Target52%––
Javairô Dilrosun1+ Shots on Target50%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dénis BouangaO0.527%––
Son Heung-MinO0.521%––
Jacob ShaffelburgO0.520%––
Mathieu ChoinièreO0.515%––
Javairô DilrosunO0.513%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Dénis Bouanga55%––
Son Heung-Min52%––
Jeremy Ebobisse37%––
Javairô Dilrosun30%––
Jacob Shaffelburg30%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Level at 2 apiece2 draws5–7 on goals