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Portland Timbers vs LA Galaxy

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

PORPortland–LALA Galaxy–10:30 PM ETDignity Health Sports Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
10:30 PM ET
xG1.9–1.7
LALA GalaxyHOME42%1.9xG+139fair-102mkt-8.6%
Draw24%—xG+320fair+342mkt+1.2%
PORPortland TimbersAWAY34%1.7xG+191fair+272mktModel lean+7.4%
O2.5 69%BTTS 70%1H O1.5 48%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
PORPortland Timbers10th32 pts9-5-13WDLLL
Home
LALA Galaxy9th36 pts9-9-10WLDWW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy1+ Goals51%––
Vincent Janssen1+ Goals41%––
Gabriel Pec1+ Goals33%––
Kristoffer Velde1+ Goals30%––
Joseph Paintsil1+ Goals30%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kristoffer Velde1+ Shots98%––
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots97%––
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots96%––
Hirving Lozano1+ Shots94%––
Kristoffer Velde2+ Shots91%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Gabriel Pec1+ Shots on Target79%––
Kevin Kelsy1+ Shots on Target69%––
Kristoffer Velde1+ Shots on Target68%––
Vincent Janssen1+ Shots on Target66%––
Joseph Paintsil1+ Shots on Target64%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kristoffer VeldeO0.527%––
David Da CostaO0.523%––
Gabriel PecO0.520%––
Cole BassettO0.517%––
Brandon ByeO0.516%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Kevin Kelsy56%––
Kristoffer Velde49%––
Vincent Janssen49%––
Gabriel Pec47%––
Joseph Paintsil38%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Portland Timbers lead 2-13 draws15–12 on goals