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Inter Miami CF vs Red Bull New York

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

MIAMiami–RBNYRed Bull NY–5:30 PM ETSports Illustrated Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 24, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
5:30 PM ET
xG2.0–2.1
RBNYRed Bull New YorkHOME37%2.0xG+170fair—mkt—
Draw22%—xG+357fair—mkt—
MIAInter Miami CFAWAY41%2.1xG+143fair—mkt—
O2.5 77%BTTS 76%1H O1.5 55%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
MIAInter Miami CF2nd52 pts14-10-5DDLWW
Home
RBNYRed Bull New York8th36 pts10-6-13WWLWL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Goals69%––
Luis Suárez1+ Goals56%––
Germán Berterame1+ Goals47%––
Julian Hall1+ Goals42%––
Tadeo Allende1+ Goals38%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots100%––
Lionel Messi2+ Shots99%––
Lionel Messi3+ Shots98%––
Luis Suárez1+ Shots96%––
Germán Berterame1+ Shots95%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi1+ Shots on Target95%––
Luis Suárez1+ Shots on Target83%––
Lionel Messi2+ Shots on Target81%––
Julian Hall1+ Shots on Target70%––
Germán Berterame1+ Shots on Target68%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel MessiO0.544%––
Rodrigo de PaulO0.533%––
Luis SuárezO0.533%––
Germán BerterameO0.526%––
Cade CowellO0.524%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Lionel Messi83%––
Luis Suárez71%––
Germán Berterame61%––
Julian Hall49%––
Tadeo Allende44%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Inter Miami CF lead 4-11 draw19–10 on goals