MatchWiz

MLS Match Board — Saturday, October 24, 2026

Every MLS match on Saturday, October 24, 2026 — the final score next to our goal model's 1X2, Over 2.5, and both-teams-to-score picks, each graded ✓/✗ against the result.

2026 · all graded matches

Graded walk-forward — ratings use only prior matches, no lookahead. Pre-launch days are reconstructed to season start. Units only ride the matches we froze a pre-kick price for. That's 435 of 437 on ML, 252 of 437 on Over 2.5, 197 of 437 on BTTS.

Saturday, October 24

MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
1:30 PM ET
xG1.3–1.7
Match page →
MTLCF MontréalHOME28%1.3xG+261fair—mkt—
Draw26%—xG+291fair—mkt—
NSHNashville SCAWAY47%1.7xG+114fair—mkt—
O2.5 59%BTTS 61%1H O1.5 40%
Apple TV
3:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.1
Match page →
CLBColumbus CrewHOME53%1.8xG-112fair—mkt—
Draw26%—xG+290fair—mkt—
TORToronto FCAWAY22%1.1xG+365fair—mkt—
O2.5 54%BTTS 55%1H O1.5 36%
Apple TV
5:30 PM ET
xG2.0–2.1
Match page →
RBNYRed Bull New YorkHOME37%2.0xG+170fair—mkt—
Draw22%—xG+357fair—mkt—
MIAInter Miami CFAWAY41%2.1xG+143fair—mkt—
O2.5 77%BTTS 76%1H O1.5 55%
Apple TV
7:30 PM ET
xG1.5–1.5
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCHOME37%1.5xG+170fair—mkt—
Draw26%—xG+283fair—mkt—
CHIChicago Fire FCAWAY37%1.5xG+171fair—mkt—
O2.5 59%BTTS 63%1H O1.5 40%
Apple TV
7:30 PM ET
xG2.0–1.8
Match page →
DCD.C. UnitedHOME42%2.0xG+136fair—mkt—
Draw23%—xG+343fair—mkt—
CINFC CincinnatiAWAY35%1.8xG+185fair—mkt—
O2.5 74%BTTS 74%1H O1.5 52%
Apple TV
7:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.6
Match page →
ORLOrlando City SCHOME43%1.8xG+131fair—mkt—
Draw24%—xG+313fair—mkt—
NYCNew York City FCAWAY32%1.6xG+209fair—mkt—
O2.5 67%BTTS 68%1H O1.5 46%
Apple TV
7:30 PM ET
xG2.1–1.3
Match page →
PHIPhiladelphia UnionHOME55%2.1xG-122fair—mkt—
Draw23%—xG+342fair—mkt—
NENew England RevolutionAWAY23%1.3xG+344fair—mkt—
O2.5 67%BTTS 65%1H O1.5 46%
Apple TV
8:30 PM ET
xG1.4–1.5
Match page →
COLColorado RapidsHOME34%1.4xG+195fair—mkt—
Draw27%—xG+274fair—mkt—
VANVancouver WhitecapsAWAY39%1.5xG+154fair—mkt—
O2.5 57%BTTS 61%1H O1.5 38%
Apple TV
8:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.5
Match page →
DALFC DallasHOME45%1.8xG+121fair—mkt—
Draw25%—xG+304fair—mkt—
SJSan Jose EarthquakesAWAY30%1.5xG+233fair—mkt—
O2.5 63%BTTS 65%1H O1.5 43%
Apple TV
8:30 PM ET
xG1.5–1.4
Match page →
HOUHouston Dynamo FCHOME40%1.5xG+148fair—mkt—
Draw27%—xG+272fair—mkt—
MINMinnesota United FCAWAY33%1.4xG+205fair—mkt—
O2.5 56%BTTS 60%1H O1.5 38%
Apple TV
8:30 PM ET
xG1.6–1.7
Match page →
RSLReal Salt LakeHOME36%1.6xG+175fair—mkt—
Draw25%—xG+298fair—mkt—
STLSt. Louis CITY SCAWAY39%1.7xG+159fair—mkt—
O2.5 64%BTTS 66%1H O1.5 43%
Apple TV
8:30 PM ET
xG2.0–1.4
Match page →
SKCSporting Kansas CityHOME49%2.0xG+104fair—mkt—
Draw24%—xG+323fair—mkt—
ATXAustin FCAWAY27%1.4xG+267fair—mkt—
O2.5 66%BTTS 67%1H O1.5 46%
Apple TV
10:30 PM ET
xG1.9–1.6
Match page →
PORPortland TimbersHOME43%1.9xG+131fair—mkt—
Draw24%—xG+318fair—mkt—
CLTCharlotte FCAWAY33%1.6xG+204fair—mkt—
O2.5 68%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
Apple TV
10:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.5
Match page →
SDSan Diego FCHOME44%1.8xG+127fair—mkt—
Draw25%—xG+306fair—mkt—
SEASeattle Sounders FCAWAY31%1.5xG+220fair—mkt—
O2.5 65%BTTS 66%1H O1.5 44%
Apple TV

Prob / WizLine = our model's chance of each result and that as fair, no-vig odds, from a Dixon-Coles goal model, xG-blended. Mkt = the median vig-free consensus across the books we track, as odds. WizEdge = the WizLine minus the market's. A ✓/✗ on a past match is the model's pick graded against the final. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).