MatchWiz
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New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

NENew England–PHIPhiladelphia–7:30 PM ETSubaru Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 24, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG2.1–1.3
PHIPhiladelphia UnionHOME55%2.1xG-121fair-150mkt-5.2%
Draw23%—xG+342fair+383mkt+1.9%
NENew England RevolutionAWAY23%1.3xG+344fair+419mkt+3.3%
O2.5 67%BTTS 65%1H O1.5 46%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
NENew England Revolution3rd49 pts15-4-10WWLLW
Home
PHIPhiladelphia Union6th45 pts13-6-10WWWWD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals53%––
Bruno Damiani1+ Goals39%––
Dor Turgeman1+ Goals35%––
Cavan Sullivan1+ Goals29%––
Carles Gil1+ Goals25%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots98%––
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots94%––
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots94%––
Milan Iloski2+ Shots92%––
Dor Turgeman1+ Shots91%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target81%––
Cavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target72%––
Peyton Miller1+ Shots on Target70%––
Bruno Damiani1+ Shots on Target64%––
Dor Turgeman1+ Shots on Target63%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Jack HarrisonO0.524%––
Cavan SullivanO0.522%––
Frankie WestfieldO0.522%––
Kai WagnerO0.520%––
Peyton MillerO0.517%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Milan Iloski61%––
Bruno Damiani46%––
Cavan Sullivan45%––
Dor Turgeman43%––
Carles Gil38%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Philadelphia Union lead 5-113–3 on goals