MatchWiz
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St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

STLSt. Louis–RSLSalt Lake–8:30 PM ETAmerica First Field📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 24, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.6–1.7
RSLReal Salt LakeHOME36%1.6xG+175fair—mkt—
Draw25%—xG+298fair—mkt—
STLSt. Louis CITY SCAWAY39%1.7xG+159fair—mkt—
O2.5 64%BTTS 66%1H O1.5 43%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
STLSt. Louis CITY SC2nd51 pts14-9-6WWWDL
Home
RSLReal Salt Lake11th33 pts9-6-14LLWLD

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rafael Navarro1+ Goals50%––
Carlo Holse1+ Goals41%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Goals35%––
Sergi Solans1+ Goals35%––
Rwan Cruz1+ Goals26%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots97%––
Carlo Holse1+ Shots95%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots95%––
Diogo Gonçalves1+ Shots88%––
Zavier Gozo1+ Shots86%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Carlo Holse1+ Shots on Target76%––
Marcel Hartel1+ Shots on Target74%––
Rafael Navarro1+ Shots on Target73%––
Sergi Solans1+ Shots on Target59%––
Morgan Guilavogui1+ Shots on Target58%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Marcel HartelO0.527%––
Carlo HolseO0.523%––
Alexandru MatanO0.523%––
Morgan GuilavoguiO0.521%––
Juan Manuel SanabriaO0.519%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Rafael Navarro56%––
Carlo Holse55%––
Marcel Hartel53%––
Sergi Solans39%––
Morgan Guilavogui34%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Real Salt Lake lead 3-03 draws13–8 on goals