MatchWiz
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Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

ATXAustin–SKCKansas City–8:30 PM ETSporting Park📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 24, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG2.0–1.4
SKCSporting Kansas CityHOME49%2.0xG+104fair—mkt—
Draw24%—xG+323fair—mkt—
ATXAustin FCAWAY27%1.4xG+267fair—mkt—
O2.5 66%BTTS 67%1H O1.5 46%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
ATXAustin FC14th31 pts7-10-12WDDLL
Home
SKCSporting Kansas City15th22 pts6-4-19LWLDL

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Brandon Vázquez1+ Goals36%––
André Luiz1+ Goals33%––
Stephen Afrifa1+ Goals33%––
Taylor Calheira1+ Goals32%––
Jáder Obrian1+ Goals27%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
André Luiz1+ Shots95%––
Brandon Vázquez1+ Shots95%––
Stephen Afrifa1+ Shots90%––
Taylor Calheira1+ Shots89%––
Capita1+ Shots85%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
André Luiz1+ Shots on Target74%––
Brandon Vázquez1+ Shots on Target73%––
Christian Ramírez1+ Shots on Target61%––
Taylor Calheira1+ Shots on Target60%––
Stephen Afrifa1+ Shots on Target59%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Facundo TorresO0.518%––
André LuizO0.516%––
Emir KaricO0.514%––
Taylor CalheiraO0.513%––
Manu GarcíaO0.513%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
André Luiz44%––
Taylor Calheira41%––
Brandon Vázquez40%––
Stephen Afrifa39%––
Jáder Obrian33%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Austin FC lead 4-29–8 on goals