MatchWiz
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San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas

Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.

SJSan Jose–DALDallas–8:30 PM ETToyota Stadium📺 Apple TV

Lineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.

What the model says

Saturday, October 24, 2026
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.5
DALFC DallasHOME45%1.8xG+121fair—mkt—
Draw25%—xG+304fair—mkt—
SJSan Jose EarthquakesAWAY30%1.5xG+233fair—mkt—
O2.5 63%BTTS 65%1H O1.5 43%
Apple TV

Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.

Going in

MLS table
Away
SJSan Jose Earthquakes4th47 pts13-8-8WDWDD
Home
DALFC Dallas3rd50 pts14-8-7WDWLW

Player props

Top 5 per market

Anytime Scorer

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Petar Musa1+ Goals50%––
Preston Judd1+ Goals36%––
Cristian Arango1+ Goals30%––
Logan Farrington1+ Goals30%––
Ousseni Bouda1+ Goals24%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Petar Musa1+ Shots97%––
Cristian Arango1+ Shots94%––
Preston Judd1+ Shots92%––
Eduard Löwen1+ Shots89%––
Luciano Acosta1+ Shots88%––

Shots on Target

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Petar Musa1+ Shots on Target81%––
Preston Judd1+ Shots on Target72%––
Cristian Arango1+ Shots on Target65%––
Logan Farrington1+ Shots on Target60%––
Luciano Acosta1+ Shots on Target57%––
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Niko TsakirisO0.520%––
Santiago MorenoO0.520%––
Joaquín ValienteO0.518%––
Luciano AcostaO0.518%––
Cristian ArangoO0.518%––

Score or Assist

Full board →
PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Petar Musa57%––
Cristian Arango43%––
Preston Judd42%––
Niko Tsakiris39%––
Logan Farrington39%––

The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Head to head

Last 6 meetings
Level at 2 apiece2 draws13–12 on goals