MatchWiz

Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 3

Tue, August 25, 2026 — Meta APEX · Las Vegas · NV · 📺 Paramount+. Model record on this card: 3-2. Tap a fight for the tale of the tape.

Card complete

5 of 5 fights final
Winner picks
3260%
our >50% side
Round totals
2340%
our side of over/under 2½
How it ends
1420%
our most-likely method
Leans vs the book
where we disagreed with the book
WizLays
10+1.07u
all slips settled

Every fight we priced, graded against the result — not a curated subset. A method call counts when the outcome we made most likely is the one that happened. Leans are only the spots where we disagreed with the book, which is the subset worth betting.

WizLays

This card1-0+1.07u
Season8-10+5.27u+29% ROI
🛡 +1006-5+1.43u
+5001-3+0.77u
🔥 +10001-2+3.06u

The model's most-likely stacks for Dana White's Contender Series, across a range of payouts. Frozen when posted, graded after the card. The moonshot is just for fun. Not a tip.

🛡 1u playWon +1.07u
+107
Live hit prob
100%
  • GG
    Galantivs Petruzzella · Middleweight
    -235
  • Urielvs Piazzon · Heavyweight
    -220

Prices are frozen at the best book number when the slip posts, and each slip grades at that price. UFC grades out efficient in our model, so this is for fun, not an edge — stacking legs multiplies the book's vig. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

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