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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

44plays today19strong19–22graded so far2final · awaiting grade
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  1. MLBOver 3.5 KJesús Luzardo · Strikeouts O/UPHI at ATLWizLine6.2 KBook3.5 +101+2.7 Kstrong54% on 24 plays since Jun 28 · −3.3% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)6 K · done✓—
  2. UFCDana White's Contender SeriesCamila Reynoso to winCamila Reynoso · MoneylineAieza Bertolso vs Camila Reynoso · Dana White's Contender SeriesWizLine44%Book21% +360betmgm+22.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · Submission✗—
  3. UFCDana White's Contender SeriesLoai Abushaar to winLoai Abushaar · MoneylineLoai Abushaar vs George Staines · Dana White's Contender SeriesWizLine48%Book27% +270fanduel+21.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✗—
  4. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBowen Byram · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+16.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  5. UFCDana White's Contender SeriesAdama Diop to winAdama Diop · MoneylineAdama Diop vs Zaurbek Sabanov · Dana White's Contender SeriesWizLine37%Book23% +315fanduel+13.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✓—
  6. MLBNRFIPHI at ATL · 1st inning · NRFIPHI at ATLWizLine74%Book60% −174+13.5%strongNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 1 R✗—
  7. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team totalFLA at CARWizLine64%Book52% −125betmgm+12.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 1-0✓—
  8. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMarco Rossi · Shots on goalVAN at EDMWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −113williamhill us+11.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 6-5✓—
  9. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVasily Podkolzin · Shots on goalVAN at EDMWizLine69% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+11.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 6-5✗—
  10. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEaston Cowan · Shots on goalMTL at TORWizLine55% · 1.9 SOGBook44% +110draftkings+10.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  11. NHLOver 1.5 SOGRasmus Andersson · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −140draftkings+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  12. NHLVAN +1.5Vancouver Canucks · Puck lineVAN at EDMWizLine58%Book48% +105betmgm+9.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal/OT 6-5✓—
  13. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalVAN at EDMWizLine53% · 2.6 SOGBook43% +116williamhill us+9.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 6-5✗—
  14. MLBPHI Over 2.5Philadelphia Phillies · Team totalPHI at ATLWizLine3.9 runsBook2.5 −118draftkings+1.39 runslean59% on 211 plays since Jun 24 · +5.5% ROI · no better than betting every over (60%)Final 3-5✓—
  15. NHLOver 1.5 SOGVictor Olofsson · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook48% −106williamhill us+9.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  16. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnton Lundell · Shots on goalFLA at CARWizLine53% · 1.8 SOGBook44% +115draftkings+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 1-0✓—
  17. NHLVAN MLVancouver Canucks · MoneylineVAN at EDMWizLine37%Book29% +250fanatics+8.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 6-5✓—
  18. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJackson Blake · Shots on goalFLA at CARWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook58% −164fanduel+7.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 1-0✓—
  19. NHLOver 2.5 SOGJuraj Slafkovský · Shots on goalMTL at TORWizLine51% · 2.8 SOGBook44% +122fanduel+7.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-2✗—
  20. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTyler Bertuzzi · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine55% · 1.9 SOGBook48% +102fanduel+7.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  21. NHLOver 1.5 SOGIvan Barbashev · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine52% · 1.8 SOGBook45% +105draftkings+7.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  22. UFCDana White's Contender SeriesIlias Bulaid to winIlias Bulaid · MoneylineIlias Bulaid vs Erick Visconde · Dana White's Contender SeriesWizLine61%Book54% −126fanduel+7.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)will grade—
  23. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMark Stone · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook59% −170draftkings+7.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  24. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGZach Hyman · Shots on goalVAN at EDMWizLine52% · 2.6 SOGBook45% +110fanduel+6.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 6-5✗—
  25. MLBCHC MLChicago Cubs · MoneylineCHC at SDWizLine51%Book45% +115+6.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 0-8✗—
  26. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMorgan Geekie · Shots on goalNYR at BOSWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook58% −155draftkings+6.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-3✗—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKasperi Kapanen · Shots on goalVAN at EDMWizLine49% · 1.7 SOGBook43% +115draftkings+6.2%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 6-5✗—
  28. NHLTOR under 3.5Toronto Maple Leafs · Team totalMTL at TORWizLine59%Book53% −156fanduel+6.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2✓—
  29. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGShea Theodore · Shots on goalCHI at VGKWizLine48% · 1.8 SOGBook42% +122fanduel+5.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  30. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGHampus Lindholm · Shots on goalNYR at BOSWizLine58% · 1.5 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+5.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-3✓—
  31. NHLMTL over 3Montréal Canadiens · Team totalMTL at TORWizLine57%Book51% −135betmgm+5.8%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-2✗—
  32. NHLBOS under 3.5Boston Bruins · Team totalNYR at BOSWizLine59%Book53% −170williamhill us+5.5%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 0-3awaiting grade—
  33. NHLOver 1.5 SOGCarter Verhaeghe · Shots on goalFLA at CARWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook59% −160draftkings+5.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 1-0✗—
  34. NHLOver 1.5 SOGWill Cuylle · Shots on goalNYR at BOSWizLine52% · 1.8 SOGBook47% +100draftkings+5.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-3✓—
  35. NHLVAN over 2.5Vancouver Canucks · Team totalVAN at EDMWizLine53%Book48% +106fanduel+5.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 6-5✓—
  36. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Fox · Shots on goalNYR at BOSWizLine50% · 1.7 SOGBook45% +114fanduel+5.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-3✓—
  37. NHLCAR −1.5Carolina Hurricanes · Puck lineFLA at CARWizLine38%Book33% +190betmgm+4.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal/OT 1-0✗—
  38. NHLCAR MLCarolina Hurricanes · MoneylineFLA at CARWizLine59%Book54% −125betmgm+4.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 1-0✗—
  39. NHLOver 5.5NYR at BOS · Game totalNYR at BOSWizLine58%Book54% −128fanduel+4.1%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 0-3✗—
  40. NHLCAR under 3.5Carolina Hurricanes · Team totalFLA at CARWizLine51%Book47% −105betmgm+4.1%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 1-0awaiting grade—
  41. NHLOver 6.5MTL at TOR · Game totalMTL at TORWizLine51%Book47% −105williamhill us+3.8%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 3-2✗—
  42. NHLOver 6.5FLA at CAR · Game totalFLA at CARWizLine50%Book47% +106williamhill us+3.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final/OT 1-0✗—
  43. NHLCHI MLChicago Blackhawks · MoneylineCHI at VGKWizLine34%Book31% +220betmgm+3.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 2-5✗—
  44. NHLMTL +1.5Montréal Canadiens · Puck lineMTL at TORWizLine72%Book69% −250betmgm+3.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal 3-2✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.