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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

35plays today12strong19–16graded so far
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  1. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGSidney Crosby · Shots on goalPIT at PHIWizLine70% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −165williamhill us+10.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-0✗—
  2. MLBYRFIPHI at ATL · 1st inning · NRFIPHI at ATLWizLine56%Book45% +111+10.5%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 2 R✓—
  3. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCale Makar · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine60% · 2.3 SOGBook50% −110draftkings+10.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✓—
  4. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEmil Heineman · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook53% −125williamhill us+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  5. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGGabriel Landeskog · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine67% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −159williamhill us+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✓—
  6. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPorter Martone · Shots on goalPIT at PHIWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook51% −115draftkings+9.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-0✓—
  7. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEvgeni Malkin · Shots on goalPIT at PHIWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook57% −146fanduel+9.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-0✓—
  8. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMatias Maccelli · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook49% −109williamhill us+8.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  9. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goalPIT at PHIWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook61% −182williamhill us+8.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-0✗—
  10. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTrevor Moore · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine65% · 2.3 SOGBook56% −150draftkings+8.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✓—
  11. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNazem Kadri · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook58% −159williamhill us+7.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✓—
  12. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTony DeAngelo · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine60% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −130draftkings+7.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  13. NHLOver 2.5 SOGBo Horvat · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine65% · 3.5 SOGBook59% −170draftkings+6.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  14. NHLNYI MLNew York Islanders · MoneylineNYI at TORWizLine53%Book47% +120draftkings+6.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 1-2✗—
  15. NHLOver 1.5 SOGVictor Eklund · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine57% · 2.0 SOGBook51% −120draftkings+6.2%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGQuinton Byfield · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine62% · 2.2 SOGBook56% −140fanduel+6.2%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✗—
  17. NHLCOL under 3.5Colorado Avalanche · Team totalLAK at COLWizLine56%Book50% −104fanduel+6.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-8✗—
  18. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJamie Drysdale · Shots on goalPIT at PHIWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook58% −165draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-0✓—
  19. NHLNYI +1.5New York Islanders · Puck lineNYI at TORWizLine73%Book67% −215fanduel+6.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal 1-2✓—
  20. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBrayden Schenn · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine56% · 1.9 SOGBook50% −110fanduel+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  21. NHLOver 2.5 SOGKyle Palmieri · Shots on goalNYI at TORWizLine49% · 2.7 SOGBook43% +120draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  22. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGEgor Chinakhov · Shots on goalPIT at PHIWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook59% −173williamhill us+5.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-0✗—
  23. NHLTOR under 3.5Toronto Maple Leafs · Team totalNYI at TORWizLine62%Book56% −154fanduel+5.7%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-2✓—
  24. NHLOver 2.5 SOGAlex Laferriere · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine48% · 2.6 SOGBook42% +125draftkings+5.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✗—
  25. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAdrian Kempe · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook49% −110fanduel+5.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✗—
  26. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBrandt Clarke · Shots on goalLAK at COLWizLine48% · 1.8 SOGBook43% +120draftkings+5.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-8✓—
  27. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylinePIT at PHIWizLine49%Book44% +124draftkings+5.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 7-0✓—
  28. NHLPHI under 3Philadelphia Flyers · Team totalPIT at PHIWizLine50%Book45% −144fanduel+5.0%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 7-0✓—
  29. NHLPIT over 2.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Team totalPIT at PHIWizLine59%Book55% −138fanduel+4.4%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 7-0✓—
  30. NHLLAK MLLos Angeles Kings · MoneylineLAK at COLWizLine42%Book37% +171williamhill us+4.4%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-8✗—
  31. NHLLAK +1.5Los Angeles Kings · Puck lineLAK at COLWizLine63%Book59% −148draftkings+4.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal 4-8✗—
  32. NHLOver 5.5NYI at TOR · Game totalNYI at TORWizLine58%Book54% −135draftkings+4.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 1-2✗—
  33. MLBATL MLAtlanta Braves · MoneylinePHI at ATLWizLine52%Book48% −102+3.7%leanUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 4-3✗—
  34. NHLNYI over 3New York Islanders · Team totalNYI at TORWizLine55%Book51% −138fanduel+3.4%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-2✗—
  35. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck linePIT at PHIWizLine69%Book66% −210betmgm+3.4%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal 7-0✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.