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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

40plays today23strong20–19graded so far1final · awaiting grade
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  1. CFBNU MLNorthwestern Wildcats · MoneylinePSU at NUWizLine68%Book44% +115+23.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 13-34✓—
  2. NHLBOS under 3.5Boston Bruins · Team totalBOS at WPGWizLine61%Book44% −190williamhill us+17.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 4-3✗—
  3. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMiro Heiskanen · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine76% · 1.7 SOGBook60% −156fanduel+16.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  4. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTrevor Connelly · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook43% +115draftkings+15.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✓—
  5. NHLDAL under 3.5Dallas Stars · Team totalSTL at DALWizLine59%Book43% −125betmgm+15.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-0✓—
  6. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGCutter Gauthier · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine71% · 2.7 SOGBook56% −150draftkings+15.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✗—
  7. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTyler Seguin · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook48% −104fanduel+12.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✗—
  8. CFBPITT MLPittsburgh Panthers · MoneylinePITT at VTWizLine59%Book46% +106+12.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 35-33✓—
  9. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGShea Theodore · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine52% · 1.6 SOGBook40% +134fanduel+12.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✗—
  10. NHLWPG under 3.5Winnipeg Jets · Team totalBOS at WPGWizLine60%Book49% −115betmgm+11.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 4-3✓—
  11. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGDavid Pastrnak · Shots on goalBOS at WPGWizLine64% · 3.1 SOGBook53% −125draftkings+10.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-3✗—
  12. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAlex Ovechkin · Shots on goalWSH at CARWizLine59% · 2.4 SOGBook48% −115draftkings+10.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGRyan Poehling · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook53% −135draftkings+10.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✗—
  14. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJosh Morrissey · Shots on goalBOS at WPGWizLine70% · 1.9 SOGBook60% −185draftkings+9.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-3✗—
  15. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGThomas Harley · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine54% · 1.6 SOGBook44% +120fanduel+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBeckett Sennecke · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine67% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✓—
  17. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJJ Peterka · Shots on goalBOS at WPGWizLine72% · 1.8 SOGBook62% −195draftkings+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-3✗—
  18. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGHampus Lindholm · Shots on goalBOS at WPGWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-3✗—
  19. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGWyatt Johnston · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook48% −104fanduel+8.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✗—
  20. NHLSTL MLSt. Louis Blues · MoneylineSTL at DALWizLine45%Book37% +155fanatics+8.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-0✓—
  21. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBrett Howden · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+8.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✗—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJustin Hryckowian · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+8.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  23. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLucas Raymond · Shots on goalNYR at DETWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook56% −140fanduel+8.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-0✓—
  24. NHLSTL +1.5St. Louis Blues · Puck lineSTL at DALWizLine66%Book58% −155betmgm+7.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal 4-0✓—
  25. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAndrew Copp · Shots on goalNYR at DETWizLine51% · 1.7 SOGBook44% +110draftkings+6.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-0✗—
  26. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAlexis Lafrenière · Shots on goalNYR at DETWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook60% −155draftkings+6.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-0✓—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Fox · Shots on goalNYR at DETWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook50% −114fanduel+6.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-0✗—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMikko Rantanen · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook57% −146fanduel+6.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  29. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMitch Marner · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook58% −145draftkings+6.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✓—
  30. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJ.T. Miller · Shots on goalNYR at DETWizLine45% · 1.9 SOGBook39% +144fanduel+6.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-0✗—
  31. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAndrei Svechnikov · Shots on goalWSH at CARWizLine59% · 2.3 SOGBook53% −128fanduel+6.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  32. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMikael Granlund · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine59% · 2.0 SOGBook53% −125draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✗—
  33. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPavel Dorofeyev · Shots on goalNYR at DETWizLine52% · 2.6 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-0✓—
  34. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJackson Blake · Shots on goalWSH at CARWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+5.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  35. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGTomas Hertl · Shots on goalANA at VGKWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook59% −175draftkings+5.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-3✗—
  36. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDylan Holloway · Shots on goalSTL at DALWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook49% −106fanduel+5.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  37. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGSebastian Aho · Shots on goalWSH at CARWizLine59% · 2.4 SOGBook54% −130draftkings+5.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  38. NHLUnder 6.5ANA at VGK · Game totalANA at VGKWizLine50%Book47% +110draftkings+3.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 4-3✗—
  39. NHLSTL under 2.5St. Louis Blues · Team totalSTL at DALWizLine44%Book41% −110williamhill us+3.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-0awaiting grade—
  40. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalANA at VGKWizLine49%Book46% +115fanatics+3.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-3✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.